Guessing Game - Week 7
Written by Ell   
Saturday, 17 October 2009 07:28

ED: So, I didn't press the "publish" button yesterday morning in my hurry to get out the door. This was written before yesterday morning. Believe me...

A good week all the way around - Crump is no longer flirting with the Mendoza line of picking. Seriously, we're not picking against the spread - this isn't rocket science!

The standings after last week are:

PickerLast Week Total Record
Ell 5-1 14-4
nxojkt 5-1 12-6
Glen 4-2 11-7
Crump 5-1 11-7

This week's picks after the jump.

We did pick these before; scroll down to the Thursday afternoon post and you'll see our Thursday picks. I have no idea why there is such faith in Wisconsin. Maybe the other three guys just love cheese, sausage and beer more than me. No, that's not it.

Game nxojkt glen55 Crump Ell
Cincinnait at South Florida
USF USF Cincy
Cincy
Oklahoma vs. Texas
Texas Texas Oklahoma Texas
Iowa at Wisconsin
Wisconsin Wisconsin Wisconsin
Iowa
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech
Va Tech
Ga Tech
Va Tech
Va Tech
Kentucky at Auburn
Kentucky Auburn Auburn
Auburn

And now, the nightcap.

Ell:

South Carolina can't score enough points to win this game. That's all you need to know here. Alabama will score enough to win, SC can't. That's really the bottom line for this game.

Spurrier will present a few offensive surprises that will make a little noise, but it just won't be enough to overcome the Tide's suffocating defense. Bama's backs will find enough creases to make some points, and Alabama rolls to a 7-0 undefeated start.

nxojkt:

South Carolina will be the Tide's third straight game against a solid SEC defense. It will also be the Tide's third straight game against an offense that doesn't have the weapons to outscore the Bama offense.

Look for Bama to wear out a thin Gamecocks defense with a short passing, between the tackles ball control offense for the first half. If Bama already has the game in control, things will continue. If the game is still tight, Bama will then take advantage of the tired South Carolina defenders to go over the top for big plays.

Either way, there is a reason that Bama is favored by 17 points. Look for Bama to win comfortably.

Glen:

It's hard to sustain the level of excellence the Bama D exhibited last week, but even if the Tide turns in an off defensive performance, I don't see Garcia and The OBC finding a way to put up 20 or more against the group they are about to face. If South Carolina ball security breaks down, this could be a rout.

On the other side of the ball, McElroy, Ingram and Co. will face another tough opponent. But with a week to learn from the lessons of last week, I expect a more focused and successful effort when the Tide has the ball. Alabama will score 30 or more and win without breaking too much of a sweat, but I wouldn't bet the house on beating the 17-point spread.

Crump:

South Carolina comes into Bryant Denny looking to spoil Bama's homecoming festivities, but in order to win the game the Gamecocks will need to score some points. That is something that looks to be getting more and more difficult for Crimson Tide opponents. Stephen Garcia has played well so far this season but he hasn't seen the kind of pressure he is likely to see on Saturday night. Couple that with USC's lack of a game breaker at wide out and it could very well be fried chicken served up on the post game spread.

On offense, look for the passing game to be more balanced after Greg McElroy's impression of John Parker Wilson a week ago. Julio Jones should be involved this week but not at the expense of the rest of the receivers (like last season). Mark Ingram should be getting the Heisman publicity, not McElroy, by the way. There I said it.

 



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