07 November 2009
Yes, we picked last week. What - you didn't see the post? Must be something wrong with your eyes...
OK, maybe I took a bye week on posting them too. But, we're back this week. And, if you need something to get you fired up for today's game, I have two suggestions for you. First, check your pulse. It's Alabama-LSU, and this game is effectively a national championship quarterfinal. Mark Ingram has a chance to be Alabama's first Heisman Trophy winner, and a big game on a national stage could make all the difference. Also, it's LSU - and they smell like corn dogs.
But if all that's not enough, check out this highlight from last year's game. Especially the opening seconds. If Saban telling the players to go out and "make their ass quit" doesn't spark something, you sir/madam are a corpse. See a doctor.
One last housekeeping note - it seems only appropriate that we have a new Bloguin sibling today, and it's a blog called SEC Rivals. These guys are doing good stuff - check them out when you can.
On to the results and picks:
|Picker||Last Week||Total Record|
A lousy (and homecoming-filled) day in the SEC means our slate of games looks a little like we're seeing Glen's west coast bias slide in, but actually Glen is in Tuscaloosa today, so surely that's not it!
|South Carolina at Arkansas
|Ohio St. at Penn St.
||Penn St||Ohio St
|TCU at San Diego St.
|Oregon St. at California
|Houston at Tulsa
And last but certainly not least, this afternoon's big game.
I've been worried about this game for weeks. Les Miles is clinically insane. He's proven it time and again. The downside of insane is it's unpredictable. He's like a box of chocolates. Clock winding down, you're at the 20 and need a field goal? Throw for the end zone! There's no rational thought here, and that's dangerous.
That being said, the offensive outbursts in the last two weeks against Auburn and Tulane are not indicative of what LSU can pull off against Alabama. It's a different world (defensively) in Tuscaloosa than in New Orleans.
That being said, LSU's secondary is very, very good. They're not as good in the front seven, but if Alabama can get anything going through the air, it could be a big day for the Tide offense. Ingram should be able to get his yards if there's any threat of anything else. The Tide wins, but it'll be closer than anyone east of Abita Springs would like.
This is probably not the week for Alabama's offense to revive the explosiveness and efficiency of the early part of the season - but it's even less the week to expect LSU's offense to get untracked and put up big numbers.
More likely, LSU's offense will contribute the ball to Alabama two or three times. Jordan Jefferson and a talented group of receivers may keep LSU in the game early, but relentless pressure will eventually frustrate him. The Alabama offense will perform with moderate efficiency, and helped out by the Tiger turnovers will put up 30 or so and beat the spread handily.
While it shapes up to be a showdown to determine the west, this one should be less stressful than you might think. Not only does LSU struggle to stop what Bama does best on offense - the power run - but the Tide is ready and refreshed after a week off.
Look for Mark Ingram to get his yards, despite a stacked box by LSU. John Chavis hasn't had an answer to the Alabama passing game in any of his last four time facing the Tide (four straight 100 yard receivers), and this won't be any different when he has to bring an eight and nine men to stop the run.
LSU is too talented for the Tide to blow out, but a 12-18 point victory should allow the Tide to briefly set its sights on Atlanta, before remembering the 24-hour rule and focusing on Mississippi State.
LSU's offense production against Auburn was a bit misleading. Auburn gave them the ball deep in there own territory a few times, not to mention that the Auburn defense is ridiculously thin. LSU's offensive woes plus a refreshed Crimson Tide should spell victory for the good guys in this one but the games in this series have been close as of late.
A key match up in this one will be Terrance Cody vs LSU center T Bob Hebert (he may smell like a corn dog but that is a great name).Herbert is undersized for a center by Mountain West Conference standards so Cody should be able to make QB Jordan Jefferson's life miserable.
First team to 17 wins and I think it will be the Tide.
So, there are your picks. Looks like a great day for football. Roll Tide!
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